Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.028464 0.030571 0.032689 0.034975 0.037369 0.039801 0.042453
2026-01-18 0.024962 0.028294 0.031765 0.035638 0.039826 0.044209 0.049129
2026-01-25 0.022386 0.026393 0.030675 0.035567 0.040975 0.046747 0.053349
2026-02-01 0.020431 0.024919 0.029819 0.035528 0.041953 0.048923 0.057015
2026-02-08 0.018798 0.023643 0.029040 0.035436 0.042749 0.050792 0.060249
2026-02-15 0.017385 0.022506 0.028314 0.035306 0.043415 0.052445 0.063179
2026-02-22 0.016200 0.021549 0.027719 0.035257 0.044111 0.054079 0.066048
2026-03-01 0.014976 0.020468 0.026910 0.034892 0.044384 0.055185 0.068275
2026-03-08 0.013689 0.019236 0.025855 0.034174 0.044189 0.055703 0.069786
2026-03-15 0.012539 0.018111 0.024873 0.033489 0.043985 0.056171 0.071204
2026-03-22 0.012152 0.017927 0.025027 0.034167 0.045400 0.058538 0.074847
2026-03-29 0.011550 0.017434 0.024766 0.034312 0.046152 0.060106 0.077541
2026-04-05 0.010815 0.016769 0.024308 0.034250 0.046711 0.061524 0.080170
2026-04-12 0.010427 0.016555 0.024426 0.034919 0.048192 0.064087 0.084219
2026-04-19 0.009767 0.015934 0.023983 0.034849 0.048730 0.065491 0.086865
2026-04-26 0.009172 0.015370 0.023586 0.034810 0.049289 0.066907 0.089518
2026-05-03 0.008602 0.014810 0.023167 0.034720 0.049764 0.068205 0.092023
2026-05-10 0.008061 0.014260 0.022736 0.034592 0.050173 0.069411 0.094408
2026-05-17 0.007586 0.013781 0.022380 0.034543 0.050669 0.070716 0.096911
2026-05-24 0.007039 0.013165 0.021810 0.034183 0.050741 0.071477 0.098730
2026-05-31 0.006420 0.012404 0.021003 0.033475 0.050334 0.071610 0.099753
2026-06-07 0.005856 0.011695 0.020242 0.032801 0.049946 0.071749 0.100766
2026-06-14 0.005723 0.011662 0.020452 0.033469 0.051345 0.074179 0.104677